St. Thomas
W-L: (12-23) PR = 96.1611Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 920 A Post EWHA (11-28, 92.2) 7- 0 921 A Post EWHA (11-28, 92.2) 6- 1 926 A Lindenwood TL (15-22, 94.7) 4- 3 927 A Lindenwood TL (15-22, 94.7) 2- 1 1010 A Minnesota State CHA (18-19, 96.6) 2- 1 1011 A Minnesota State CHA (18-19, 96.6) 0- 3 1017 A St. Cloud State CHA (11-24, 96.5) 3- 4 1018 A St. Cloud State CHA (11-24, 96.5) 4- 3 1024 H Providence E (12-25, 93.9) 6- 7 1025 H Providence E (12-25, 93.9) 5- 1 1031 H Ohio State CHA (37- 5, 99.9) 2- 3 1101 H Ohio State CHA (37- 5, 99.9) 0- 8 1107 A Bemidji State CHA ( 7-25, 95.0) 5- 0 1108 A Bemidji State CHA ( 7-25, 95.0) 1- 2 1114 H Minnesota Duluth CHA (21-14, 97.7) 1- 3 1115 H Minnesota Duluth CHA (21-14, 97.7) 2- 4 1120 A Wisconsin CHA (33- 6, 99.8) 0- 8 1121 A Wisconsin CHA (33- 6, 99.8) 3- 4 1205 H Minnesota CHA (24-13, 98.2) 3- 5 1206 A Minnesota CHA (24-13, 98.2) 1- 4 109 H Bemidji State CHA ( 7-25, 95.0) 2- 1 110 H Bemidji State CHA ( 7-25, 95.0) 4- 1 116 H Wisconsin CHA (33- 6, 99.8) 1- 5 117 H Wisconsin CHA (33- 6, 99.8) 1- 5 123 A Ohio State CHA (37- 5, 99.9) 1- 2 124 A Ohio State CHA (37- 5, 99.9) 0- 5 130 H St. Cloud State CHA (11-24, 96.5) 3- 2 131 H St. Cloud State CHA (11-24, 96.5) 3- 2 206 H Minnesota CHA (24-13, 98.2) 1- 4 207 A Minnesota CHA (24-13, 98.2) 1- 1 213 A Minnesota Duluth CHA (21-14, 97.7) 0- 3 214 A Minnesota Duluth CHA (21-14, 97.7) 0- 3 220 H Minnesota State CHA (18-19, 96.6) 2- 5 221 H Minnesota State CHA (18-19, 96.6) 3- 4 227 A Ohio State CHA (37- 5, 99.9) 1- 5 228 A Ohio State CHA (37- 5, 99.9) 1- 4
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
920 A Post 7- 0 7 4 + 3.46
921 A Post 6- 1 5 4 1.46
926 A Lindenwood 4- 3 1 1 -0.04
927 A Lindenwood 2- 1 1 1 -0.04
1010 A Minnesota State 2- 1 1 -1 1.79
1011 A Minnesota State 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.21
1017 A St. Cloud State 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.25
1018 A St. Cloud State 4- 3 1 -1 1.75
1024 H Providence 6- 7 -1 3 - -3.68
1025 H Providence 5- 1 4 3 1.32
1031 H Ohio State 2- 3 -1 -3 + 2.35
1101 H Ohio State 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -4.65
1107 A Bemidji State 5- 0 5 1 ++ 4.26
1108 A Bemidji State 1- 2 -1 1 -1.74
1114 H Minnesota Duluth 1- 3 -2 -1 -0.87
1115 H Minnesota Duluth 2- 4 -2 -1 -0.87
1120 A Wisconsin 0- 8 -8 -4 - -3.96
1121 A Wisconsin 3- 4 -1 -4 + 3.04
1205 H Minnesota 3- 5 -2 -2 -0.36
1206 A Minnesota 1- 4 -3 -2 -0.57
109 H Bemidji State 2- 1 1 2 -0.52
110 H Bemidji State 4- 1 3 2 1.48
116 H Wisconsin 1- 5 -4 -3 -0.75
117 H Wisconsin 1- 5 -4 -3 -0.75
123 A Ohio State 1- 2 -1 -4 + 3.13
124 A Ohio State 0- 5 -5 -4 -0.87
130 H St. Cloud State 3- 2 1 0 0.96
131 H St. Cloud State 3- 2 1 0 0.96
206 H Minnesota 1- 4 -3 -2 -1.36
207 A Minnesota 1- 1 0 -2 + 2.43
213 A Minnesota Duluth 0- 3 -3 -2 -1.09
214 A Minnesota Duluth 0- 3 -3 -2 -1.09
220 H Minnesota State 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.99
221 H Minnesota State 3- 4 -1 0 -0.99
227 A Ohio State 1- 5 -4 -4 0.13
228 A Ohio State 1- 4 -3 -4 1.13
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1101 H Ohio State 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -4.65 1011 A Minnesota State 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.21 1024 H Providence 6- 7 -1 3 - -3.68 1120 A Wisconsin 0- 8 -8 -4 - -3.96 220 H Minnesota State 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.99 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1107 A Bemidji State 5- 0 5 1 ++ 4.26 920 A Post 7- 0 7 4 + 3.46 1031 H Ohio State 2- 3 -1 -3 + 2.35 1121 A Wisconsin 3- 4 -1 -4 + 3.04 123 A Ohio State 1- 2 -1 -4 + 3.13 207 A Minnesota 1- 1 0 -2 + 2.43 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Post (11-28, 92.2) 7- 0 -7.68 1.00 0.39 1.02 2.83
3 A Post (11-28, 92.2) 6- 1 -7.68 1.00 0.39 1.02 2.83
3 A Lindenwood (15-22, 94.7) 4- 3 -5.17 2.83 0.39 1.02 6.56
3 A Lindenwood (15-22, 94.7) 2- 1 -5.17 2.83 0.39 1.02 6.56
3 A Minnesota Stat (18-19, 96.6) 2- 1 -3.34 4.66 0.39 1.02 10.28
3 A Minnesota Stat (18-19, 96.6) 0- 3 -3.34 4.66 0.39 1.02 -1.50
3 A St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.5) 3- 4 -3.39 4.62 0.39 1.02 -1.52
3 A St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.5) 4- 3 -3.39 4.62 0.39 1.02 10.19
3 H Providence (12-25, 93.9) 6- 7 -6.02 1.98 -0.39 1.02 -3.26
3 H Providence (12-25, 93.9) 5- 1 -6.02 1.98 -0.39 1.02 3.23
3 H Ohio State (37- 5, 99.9) 2- 3 -0.00 8.00 -0.39 1.02 -0.20
3 H Ohio State (37- 5, 99.9) 0- 8 -0.00 8.00 -0.39 1.02 -0.20
3 A Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.0) 5- 0 -4.87 3.14 0.39 1.02 7.18
3 A Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.0) 1- 2 -4.87 3.14 0.39 1.02 -2.28
3 H Minnesota Dulu (21-14, 97.7) 1- 3 -2.22 5.79 -0.39 1.02 -1.33
3 H Minnesota Dulu (21-14, 97.7) 2- 4 -2.22 5.79 -0.39 1.02 -1.33
3 A Wisconsin (33- 6, 99.8) 0- 8 -0.09 7.91 0.39 1.02 -0.15
3 A Wisconsin (33- 6, 99.8) 3- 4 -0.09 7.91 0.39 1.02 -0.15
3 H Minnesota (24-13, 98.2) 3- 5 -1.70 6.30 -0.39 1.02 -1.07
3 A Minnesota (24-13, 98.2) 1- 4 -1.70 6.30 0.39 1.02 -0.67
3 H Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.0) 2- 1 -4.87 3.14 -0.39 1.02 5.58
3 H Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.0) 4- 1 -4.87 3.14 -0.39 1.02 5.58
3 H Wisconsin (33- 6, 99.8) 1- 5 -0.09 7.91 -0.39 1.02 -0.25
3 H Wisconsin (33- 6, 99.8) 1- 5 -0.09 7.91 -0.39 1.02 -0.25
3 A Ohio State (37- 5, 99.9) 1- 2 -0.00 8.00 0.39 1.02 -0.20
3 A Ohio State (37- 5, 99.9) 0- 5 -0.00 8.00 0.39 1.02 -0.20
3 H St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.5) 3- 2 -3.39 4.62 -0.39 1.02 8.59
3 H St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.5) 3- 2 -3.39 4.62 -0.39 1.02 8.59
3 H Minnesota (24-13, 98.2) 1- 4 -1.70 6.30 -0.39 1.02 -1.07
3 A Minnesota (24-13, 98.2) 1- 1 -1.70 6.30 0.39 1.02 0.00
3 A Minnesota Dulu (21-14, 97.7) 0- 3 -2.22 5.79 0.39 1.02 -0.93
3 A Minnesota Dulu (21-14, 97.7) 0- 3 -2.22 5.79 0.39 1.02 -0.93
3 H Minnesota Stat (18-19, 96.6) 2- 5 -3.34 4.66 -0.39 1.02 -1.90
3 H Minnesota Stat (18-19, 96.6) 3- 4 -3.34 4.66 -0.39 1.02 -1.90
3 A Ohio State (37- 5, 99.9) 1- 5 -0.00 8.00 0.39 1.02 -0.20
3 A Ohio State (37- 5, 99.9) 1- 4 -0.00 8.00 0.39 1.02 -0.20
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56.35
|
winning pts = 78.0116 losing points = -21.6654
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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